If you’re planning to trade one city home for another, you understandably may be wondering how to make the best decision in the current market. Should you wait to sell your current place until you're settled into a new one, or sell first and then buy something new?
High interest rates, high prices, and low inventory continue to pose unique challenges for consumers. Given all the variables defining the current market, what is the best way to protect your financial interest while also meeting your residential housing needs?
High interest rates, high prices, and low inventory continue to pose unique challenges for consumers. Given all the variables defining the current market, what is the best way to protect your financial interest while also meeting your residential housing needs?
In this article:
Buy Now, Sell Later
Depending on your circumstances, it is still a great time to buy. While prices in New York City haven’t yet experienced the declines impacting properties in some regions of the country, in most neighborhoods, they are no longer rapidly rising. More importantly, in the face of elevated mortgage rates, there are fewer consumers actively looking to buy, which means even with lower-than-average inventory, current buyers are less likely to face aggressive bidding wars of past years. For this reason, buying in the current market is likely going to be less stressful than it was a decade ago, but it all depends on what type of property you’re looking to buy and under what circumstances.The buyers who likely have the most to gain in the current market are those shopping for luxury condos. According to City Realty’s “Blue Chip” Index, which tracks sales in the city’s top 100 condos, prices have dropped nearly 2% over the past three months and are down nearly 10% over the past six months. But even if this is a good time for some consumers to purchase a property, is it necessarily a good time for these consumers to sell?
Like buying, deciding whether to sell at this time will likely depend on a number of factors. The most important factor is the type of property you're looking to offload. If you’re looking to sell a luxury townhouse or a modestly priced condo or co-op, inventory remains low and demand remains relatively high, so you’re likely to still see a strong return on your investment. If, on the other hand, you’re looking to sell a luxury condo, depending on demand in your building and when you originally purchased, it may be more strategic to hold the property or rent it out until the market shifts in your favor. However, given the lack of new condo supply coming to the Manhattan market, the shift is likely to be sooner than later.
Sell Now, Buy Later
While only a small percentage of homeowners can afford to buy now and sell later, anyone can consider selling now and buying later. This option is becoming increasingly popular, at the moment, but is it necessarily the best option?
On the selling side, unless you happen to be looking to sell a recently purchased luxury condo, you’re still likely to see a strong return on your investment. While you might not experience a multi-offer situation and your property may linger on the market somewhat longer than it would have a year ago, sellers don’t have much to worry about in the current market between persistent low inventory and high demand. The real dilemma facing most sellers at the moment is whether to sell and rent while the market cools off, or to sell and simultaneously buy a new home.
If your risk tolerance is high and you’re willing to gamble on the market being more in your favor over the next year, selling and temporarily renting could be advantageous. While a market collapse seems highly unlikely, especially in a place with low supply and where real estate prices tend to remain strong in nearly all economies, it is possible that prices will edge down at least slightly over the next few quarters. In addition, with fewer potential buyers on the market now, inventory is expected to build after Labor Day. Combined, this will likely open more opportunities for buyers later this year.
However, anyone who is thinking about selling and temporarily renting in hopes of reentering the market later will also face an additional challenge—finding a reasonably priced rental until in New York City. According to Corcoran, Manhattan market-rate rents hit an all-time high of $6,655/month in July. In addition, as more people hold off buying a first home and choose to sell now and buy later, the rental market is becoming increasingly crowded across the city, creating a surprising amount of competition for units in all price ranges and resulting in skyrocketing brokerage fees. But with mortgage rates still above 6 percent, even paying an exceptionally high brokerage fee on a rental may prove to be a better long-term financial decision.
However, anyone who is thinking about selling and temporarily renting in hopes of reentering the market later will also face an additional challenge—finding a reasonably priced rental until in New York City. According to Corcoran, Manhattan market-rate rents hit an all-time high of $6,655/month in July. In addition, as more people hold off buying a first home and choose to sell now and buy later, the rental market is becoming increasingly crowded across the city, creating a surprising amount of competition for units in all price ranges and resulting in skyrocketing brokerage fees. But with mortgage rates still above 6 percent, even paying an exceptionally high brokerage fee on a rental may prove to be a better long-term financial decision.
Below-market opportunities
The Parc Vendome, #3J (Douglas Elliman Real Estate)
420 Beekman Hill, #4C
$420,000 (-10.3%)
Beekman/Sutton Place | Cooperative | 2 Bedrooms, 2 Baths | 1,350 ft2
420 Beekman Hill, #4C (Douglas Elliman Real Estate)
One Central Park West, #314
$525,000 (-28.6%)
Central Park West | Condominium | 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath | 717 ft2
One Central Park West, #314 (Serhant)
Magnolia Mansion Lofts, #5C
$750,000 (-3.7%)
East Harlem | Condominium | 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths | 1,800 ft2
Magnolia Mansion Lofts, #5C (Coldwell Banker Warburg)
Cipriani Club Residences, #600
$750,000
Financial District | Condominium | 1 Bedroom, 1 Bath | 1,279 ft2
Cipriani Club Residences, #600 (R New York)
106 Graham Avenue, #1B (Compass)
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Towers on the Park II, #2N
$899,000
Central Park West | Condominium | 2 Bedrooms, 1.5 Baths | 839 ft2
Towers on the Park II, #2N (ICONIC PROS)
327 West 11th Street, #5R (Compass)
The River Ridge, #1F
$1,250,000 (-9.7%)
Lower East Side | Condominium | 2 Bedrooms, 1.5 Baths | 1,973 ft2
The River Ridge, #1F (Compass)
199 Prince Street, #22 (Douglas Elliman Real Estate)
27 East 65th Street, #9DE
$1,295,000 (-28.1%)
Park/Fifth Ave. to 79th St. | Cooperative | 3 Bedrooms, 3.5 Baths
27 East 65th Street, #9DE (Brown Harris Stevens Residential Sales LLC)
27 East 65th Street, #5BC
$1,395,000
Park/Fifth Ave. to 79th St. | Cooperative | 3 Bedrooms, 3 Baths | 2,100 ft2
27 East 65th Street, #5BC (Douglas Elliman Real Estate)
219 Withers Street, #1B (Corcoran Group)
South Star, #9C
$1,399,000 (-5.2%)
Financial District | Condominium | 3 Bedrooms, 2 Baths | 1,412 ft2
South Star, #9C (Serhant)
The Netherlands, #5A
$1,400,000
Riverside Dr./West End Ave. | Condominium | 3 Bedrooms, 1 Bath | 1,571 ft2
The Netherlands, #5A (Brown Harris Stevens Brooklyn LLC)
28 West 96th Street, #9
$1,450,000
Central Park West | Condominium | 3 Bedrooms, 2.5 Baths | 1,200 ft2
28 West 96th Street, #9 (Serhant)
The Sweet William, #2C
$1,450,000 (-3%)
Riverside Dr./West End Ave. | Condominium | 3 Bedrooms, 1.5 Baths | 1,542 ft2
The Sweet William, #2C (Corcoran Group)
50 Pine Street, #12PHN
$1,495,000 (-21.1%)
Financial District | Condominium | 3 Bedrooms, 3 Baths | 2,202 ft2
50 Pine Street, #12PHN (Corcoran Group)
Kips Bay Towers, #2LK (Brown Harris Stevens Residential Sales LLC)
144 West 27th Street, #10F
$1,795,000 (-28.2%)
Chelsea | Condominium | 2 Bedrooms, 2 Baths | 1,822 ft2
144 West 27th Street, #10F (Brown Harris Stevens Brooklyn LLC)
7 West 96th Street, #11A/11E (Douglas Elliman Real Estate)
291 Seventh Avenue, #4 (Brown Harris Stevens Residential Sales LLC)
Hotel des Artistes, #303/304/305/306
$3,925,000
Central Park West | Cooperative | 5 Bedrooms, 3 Baths
Hotel des Artistes, #303/304/305/306 (Compass)
135W52, #PH5S (Douglas Elliman Real Estate)
The Legacy, #PH (Coldwell Banker Warburg)
Contributing Writer
Cait Etherington
Cait Etherington has over twenty years of experience working as a journalist and communications consultant. Her articles and reviews have been published in newspapers and magazines across the United States and internationally. An experienced financial writer, Cait is committed to exposing the human side of stories about contemporary business, banking and workplace relations. She also enjoys writing about trends, lifestyles and real estate in New York City where she lives with her family in a cozy apartment on the twentieth floor of a Manhattan high rise.
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